Wednesday April 8, 2020

  • Markets soften this morning after testing higher on the overnights 
  • USDA intending on re-surveying farmers in the midwest with unharvested 2019 corn and beans  with adjustments from the survey expected to be reflected in the May 12 monthly report 
  • Cold midwest forecast likely to keep planters parked through the weekend 
  • USDA report out tomorrow at noon – average estiamtes looking for increasing both old and new crop carryout numbers in the U.S. which would just add to the pressures onthe Ag markets 
    • see estimates below 
  • More ethanol plants are being put on idle as the industry grinds to a halt putting more pressure on corn demand
USDA 2019/2020 U.S. Carryout (in billion bushels)
Commodity April USDA Report Avg Trade Estimate Estimate Range Mar USDA Report
Corn 2.004 1.792-2.150 1.892
Soybeans 0.430 0.385-0.475 0.581
Wheat 0.940 0.890-0.973 0.940
USDA 2019/2020 World Carryout (in million metric tonnes)
Commodity April USDA Report Avg Trade Estimate Estimate Range Mar USDA Report
Corn 298.50 293.0-301.3 297.34
Soybeans 101.10 97.0-104.85 104.44
Wheat 287.37 285.0-291.0 287.14
USDA 2019/2020 South American Production (in million metric tonnes)
Commodity April USDA Report Avg Trade Estimate Estimate Range Mar USDA Report
Argentine Corn 49.60 48.00-51.70 50.00
Arg. Soybeans 52.49 50.00-54.00 54.00
Brazilian Corn 100.56 98.00-103.00 101.00
Braz. Soybeans 123.88 122.00-126.00 126.00