Thursday February 10, 2022

  • Markets continue to forge fresh highs as Brazilian production estimates continue to get slashed
  • Yesterdays USDA report did not contain any new ground breaking information 
    • Corn balance sheet completely unchanged
    • Soybeans – only change on the balance sheet was an increase in crush usage – as expected
    • Wheat – demand lowered slightly, overall increase in carryout prediction – as expected 
    • South American Production
      • Brazilian and Argentine soybean production estimates lowered
      • Brazilian corn production lowered slightly 
  • Additional fuel to the rally today came from the official Brazilian analyst CONAB slashing their production estimates by 11% to 125.5 MMT 
  • Coupled with another flash sale to China this morning there is no dark cloud (that can be seen) on the soybean market today 
  • With the market overwhelmed by soybean news lately – corn and wheat are feeling the support as well – Corn will have to start making moves as we get into the acreage battle this spring