Wednesday April 10, 2024

  • Tomorrow USDA will release its monthly crop production and WASDE report.  Brazil’s Conab will release their April crop estimates
    • Attention will be drawn to the size of Brazil’s 2024 soybean/corn crop
      • In March there was a 8.2MMT spread between CONAB and WASDE soybean crop estimate
    • The report is for old crop data in the US, new crop corn and soybean balance sheets will be released in May
      • Few changes are expected
    • The trade estimates lower Brazilian production estimates and flat estimates for Argentina
  • Ukraine brokers estimate 600k tonnes of corn could be exported to China this month
  • China starting to book beans from Argentina for April-June delivery
    • Most of these purchases expected to go into state reserves
    • Chinese crushers focused on Brazilian purchases
    • Brazilian bean exports were at a record high last year
      • Chinese custom data shows Brazilian bean imports even higher this year