Thursday August 1, 2024

  • Corn, soybean and wheat futures are starting off the month in the red
  • There was a flash sale of 104,572 tonnes of corn to unknown for 24/25 delivery 
  • Corn futures for the December contract closed below $4.00 yesterday, this is a key physiological level as some begin to discuss farm profitability. The last time the December corn contract traded below $4 was November of 2020. (See chart on December corn futures below)
    • There was a very tight trading range in the overnights with the contract only going as high as 1 cent over the close. This sets us up for a very bearish tone moving forward
  • Soybean futures hit new lows this week with the weight of fund selling and uncertain US demand
  • Worsening tensions in the Middle east had the crude market up on Wednesday
  • EU wheat harvest is still facing major issues, the French yields are down 25% and the quality is impacting export potential
    • Russia and Ukraine’s export surplus won’t be as big as last year
  • Central and Northern China are receiving record flooding (see map below)
  • There was some heavy winds that may have damaged crops in eastern Nebraska and western Iowa late yesterday 
  • US ethanol production was at a record high last week