Friday September 13, 2024

  • Wheat and corn are making gains this morning, following the report yesterday, soybeans are slightly down
  • Black sea war tensions supporting wheat prices.  A Russian missile hit a civilian ship in the Black Sea, transporting wheat bound for Egypt
    • This comes after news broke overnight Wednesday that Russia was targeting Ukrainian rail hubs, leaving one city without running water or electricity
  • Flash Sale of 5 million bushels of corn to unknown for delivery in the 24/25 marketing year
  • Report highlights (see image below for more details)
    • Most of the changes were made to the 23/24 balance sheet
      • USDA increased ethanol usage and exports, tightening carryout by 55mbu
      • Large soybean carryout value
    • US corn yield numbers came in well above trade expectations at 183.6 bpa vs the 182.4 bpa trade guess.  The majority felt that the corn yield figure would decrease not increase.
  • US export sales:
    • New crop US corn export sales were poor last week, falling below pre report expectations and down 63% compared to the prior week.  Mexico was the largest buyer for the week
    • Soybean sales were near the upper end of the expectations, China was the largest soybean buyer for the week.
    • Net wheat sales were near the upper end of expectations and Taiwan was the laregest buyer for the week.
  • Soil moisture in Brazil’s key soybean areas has fallen to its lowest point in three decades