Thursday March 13th, 2025

  • The CBOT is rebounding after yesterday’s EU tariff lashing.
    • US soybean export sales adding support to the market this morning.
      • Below is a chart showing the top ten buyers of US corn for the 2024/25 marketing year.
  • EU tariff retaliation
    • A 25% tariff on Corn from the US would be implemented on April 1st.
    • US soybeans are targeted under a second tranche of EU tariffs that would take place on April 13th.
    • Wheat was not included on either list and at this point would be exempt.
  • Canadian farmers are expected to plant less canola and more wheat this year after China’s tariff announcement on Canola.
  • Argentine port strike hits 50% of the facilities.
  • Brazil’s Conab will release their crop estimate later this morning.
  • Ethanol production falls to six-week low amid historical high ethanol stocks, see image below.
  • February CPI report released this morning- US consumer prices increased at their slowest pace in four months.  Inflation rose 0.2% falling short of the 0.3% expected rise.  Economists still remain concerned that the escalating tariffs could drive consumer prices higher.  The Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged.