Monday June 29, 2020

  • U.S. Planted Acres report out tomorrow as well as quarterly stocks – see full estimates below
    • Corn: acres expected to still be high but come down slightly from initial projections 
    • Soybeans: expected to have picked up some acres from corn 
    • Wheat: expected to have picked up some acres as well 
  • Dryness still preceds in some areas of the U.S. despite scattered coverage last week – with funds as short as they are it is enough to garnish at least a small reaction this morning
  • A hot dry stretch to lead us into July – overall not concerned but again has to at least be ackowledged in the market 
  • Stats Canada 2020 planted acres report: notably higher acres in lentils, barley and durham wheat 
    • All wheat planting at 24.97 million acres – ahead 2019’s acres by 1.5%
      • Note that winter wheat acres alone were up 45.9% at 1.356 million acres 
    • Corn acres 3.56 million acres down 3.7% from last year 
    • Soybean acres at 5.07 million acres, down 11.3% from last year 
USDA Quarterly Stocks (in billion bushels)
  USDA June 1, 2020 Avg. Estimate Range USDA June 1, 2019 USDA March 1, 2020
Corn   4.951 4.795-5.150 5.202 7.953
Soybeans   1.392 1.275-1.490 1.783 2.253
Wheat   0.980 0.925-0.996 1.080 1.412
USDA Planted Acres (in million acres)
  USDA June 2020 Avg. Estimate Range USDA March 2020 USDA 2019 Final
Corn 95.207 93.00-97.10 95.4 89.7
Soybeans 84.716 83.50-85.60 85.5 76.1
All Wheat 44.718 44.20-45.10 44.455 45.2
Winter Wheat 30.849 30.40-31.60 30.775 31.2